Interesting Times – Flattening the Curve of COVID-19

Here at Power Trip Energy, we are in the same situation as everybody else – concerned for the health of our employees, families, clients, and community.  We are reading the news, reacting to event closures, and making sure everyone performs the best safest practices to prevent illness in ourselves and others.  Immediately relevant is the cancellation of two home shows this weekend, and since cancellation was was not required, and because it surely represents a loss of revenue and time spent, we appreciate these decisions being made by KONP in Port Angeles and the Kitsap Builders Association.  It is not the right time to conduct an event like a home show.

Since the nature of our work is generally outdoors, we are thankful to be proceeding with solar installations on regular schedule, while in the office, we are being especially clean and considerate of each other.

I love graphs, so I want to share a couple you have probably seen, which help me to understand the nature of the challenge ahead of us.  In regards to statistically tracking what is known about the virus in the US, the Center for Disease Control site is simple and helpful.  As of Friday March 13, yes, it appears we are on the upward curve as predicted.  Check the bar graph titled “COVID-19 Cases in the United States by date of illness onset, January 12, 2020 to March 12, 2020 at 4pm ET (n=792)**” at https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-in-us.html

The reasonable question is when we will see leveling and what this curve will eventually look like over time.  The “Flattening the Curve” originally from the CDC in 2007, and updated for this epidemic by Drew Harris, helps us understand the benefits of suppressing the curve as much as possible, in order to preserve as much health care capacity for those who need it most.
Yesterday, I got a much-appreciated smile when a friend shared a “Cattening the Curve” graph, encouraging us to be lazy kitties, stay home, and get some rest, thereby helping to flatten the curve, and keep the rate of illness within the capacity of our health care system to handle.  Nicely done, Anne Marie Darling https://twitter.com/amdar1ing/status/1237880129575157760?s=19
Please take a moment to take care of yourselves, your family, and neighbors.  We are here for you if you also want to take this moment to talk about clean solar energy.

Dana Roberts Community Solar Array

Kudos to the Jefferson PUD for listening to their constituents and pursuing some sensible renewable energy generation.  By taking advantage of a soon-expiring state program incentivizing community solar, the PUD will harvest some of our local sunshine, make some of its own clean power, and make available an opportunity to invest in solar for folks who may not have their own sunny roof or the ability to install a full array for themselves.  By purchasing shares in the Community Solar Array, Jefferson County rate-payers would be able to see the benefits on their own bill for their fraction of ownership of shares in the large array.

Dana Roberts, may he rest in peace, was a local clean energy activist and a PUD commissioner before our PUD became an electricity provider and when our county was still served by the Investor-Owned-Utility PSE.  Dana was involved in 2008’s Proposition 1 campaign in which the public vote gave our PUD the authorization to become our own electric utility, negotiate terms with PSE, and purchase their assets.  This was a truly remarkable campaign and event, and Dana’s knowledge and tenacity were invaluable resources for our community.  Apart from that Dana was a lover of good stories and dark beer, with a dash of revolutionary flair.

It is appropriate that the project at the PUD substation on Kearny St in Port Townsend will be named the Dana Roberts Community Solar Array.

Our company has been privileged to install the community solar array on Washington St in Sequim for Clallam PUD, and also the small community solar array at the Jefferson Airport for the Jefferson Solar Group.  With the support of the current state program, projects like this make economic sense and give access to solar to everyone.

Clallam Community Solar Array, Sequim, WA
30 KW SunPower, Sept 2019

 

Community Solar Array, Jefferson Intl Airport, Port Townsend, 17 KW Silicon Energy, February 2011

 

Window Closing for 30% Federal Tax Credit on Solar Installations

We have enjoyed a 30% federal tax credit for just over 10 years.  Sadly this tax credit begins to decrease beginning Jan 1, 2020.  For the year 2020, the federal tax credit will be 26%, and in 2021 will be 22%, before the residential Investment tax credit disappears.

At this point, we can no longer make any new commitments to install systems prior to the end of December.  We will try to get as many done this year as possible, but our schedule is near full, and we are subject to weather, holidays, and short days this time of year.  For customers who sign contracts and provide deposits prior to November 30, if we do not get your project installed by the end of December, we will offer a 6% discount.  This is a good deal for those customers as they will recognize a lower overall project cost, and because a portion of that savings is a discount, that means a lower transaction cost initially, rather than waiting for the tax credit next April 15.  As we naturally get a lower solar output during the winter, the difference in production based on a January installation versus a December installation is the least significant.

So, if installing solar on your home is something you have considered doing “someday”, perhaps today is your best “someday.”  We look forward to hearing from you and installing solar on your home.

9.5 KW SunPower Array, Sequim Bay, July 2019

 

Northern California Experiencing Unprecedented Rolling Power Outages

Pacific Gas & Electric’s rolling outages are amazing to see occuring, and are frightening for many experiencing them.  Up to 700,000 people have been without grid electricity last night and today due to planned outages.  I have friends in Sonoma who have experienced recent wildfires caused by PG&E’s negligence and lack of system maintenance, whose nerves are on edge due to the forecast of high wind and dry conditions.  Their anxiety is compounded at the moment by these outages, even though they are preventative measures attempting to avoid the wildfires we have seen in the last few years..

https://www.sfgate.com/weather/article/PGE-power-shutoff-phase-two-Bay-Area-14506358.php

The underlying problem is the lack of maintenance by PG&E on their transmission system.  This corporation has a history of taking the profits while socializing the risks and losses.  As utilities are  state supported monopolies, some of the responsibility lies with the California Public Utilities Commission.  Unfortunately PG&E’s bankruptcy filing, questions surrounding that, and the plunge in share price does not bode well for the situation improving in the coming years.

https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2019-10-09/pge-bankruptcy-reorganization-plan-judge

This is a situation wherein a grid-tied solar pv system with back-up batteries would prove itself very useful.  While batteries are expensive, homeowners who have spent the money are surely grateful at this moment.  While we do not have these particular issues at the moment here in Washington, this is a cautionary event from which we can learn.

9.8 KW SunPower Solar PV, on PSE grid, Bainbridge Island, July 2019

Clallam Community Solar Project Sold Out

Clallam PUD’s first Community Solar Array is operational and shares are fully sold out right on schedule.  Please take a moment to celebrate, then you can feel free to inquire about subsequent phases.  Thank you to Clallam PUD, to the Washington State legislature that made the program possible through Community Solar laws, and to all the individuals who have made this project a success.  We are honored to be able to perform this meaningful work.  To learn more, visit www.clallampud.net/communitysolar/

 

Clallam Community Solar Array in progress, Sept 2019

California’s Solar Mandate Firms Up for 2020

In 2020, all new homes built in California will be required to include a solar PV system.. Our neighbors to the south continue to lead.

Since 1978, the California Energy Commission (CEC) has enforced T24 standards. The 2016-2019 code cycle required all new homes to be highly energy-efficient and be “solar ready”. These initial standards required builders to make a rooftop area available for solar and include a space for a circuit breaker to connect any future solar inverter. In the 2019 code, which takes effect in 2020, California now goes further.  

To help achieve California’s ambitious climate goals, the state has just become the first in the nation to require all new homes to include solar panels starting in 2020. With the new Title 24 changes, builders are now required to include a minimum solar PV system to offset the expected electrical load of the home.

While a part me rejoices at this advancement, I am also wary of mandates, that is not usually how I like things to be done.  However, there are many building code issues that we all live with whenever we choose to build a new home, either as homeowner or builder.  Relative to some other requirements, mandatory solar seems completely reasonable.  California leads the way again – hopefully Washington and Oregon will soon follow this progress.  I would completely support such a mandate, with clear exceptions if people are unfortunate enough to be building a home in the shade.

Andy Cochrane, Sept 16, 2019

7.7 KW SunPower Array – Port Angeles, WA – Clallam PUD Grid – May 2019

Buyer Beware – Fly By Night Solar, Inc

We have recently had a conversation with someone adversely affected by an unreliable contractor.  I have been hearing sad tales like this during the entire 16 years we have been in business – these stories seem to come in waves.  Most of these unfortunate events could be avoided by doing a little research and talking to existing happy customers and looking at a company’s track record.  Unreliable companies rarely make it two years.  While the fact that a company is new should not prevent you from working with them, you should be much more careful with a new company.

I will be forever grateful to Mr Lee Doughty who wrote me a large check in December of 2002, when this solar company was just a gleam in my eye.  The trust he placed in me will always be appreciated and cherished.  I would hate to think that my lack of other existing customers at the time would have prevented him from working with us – how is a small company supposed to get their first customer otherwise?

Support for earnest young start-ups aside, please do your research when hiring a solar contractor.  This goes for any trade, but something about solar seems to attract companies that take advantage of a customer’s good intentions and enthusiasm with some gee-whiz marketing.

Here are some Yelp reviews that collectively tell a distressing story.  https://www.yelp.com/biz/offset-solar-liberty-lake  Of note, we don’t pay Yelp for our listing, I’m not sure if reviews can be left if we don’t pay for their service, however for existing customers read this and use Yelp (you need an account to provide review) are so motivated, we would appreciate a  Yelp review or two or three.

In 2002 Lee was a Solar Pioneer!  In 2006, he enlarged his array and had the biggest one in town for a while.

 

Prior to becoming electrical contractors in 2004, we worked with Puget Sound Solar to install our projects. Ara, Jeremy, Andy, and Emil at Jefferson County’s first Grid-tied PV installation, February 2003.

 

A Fully Renewable Energy Grid in US is Attainable in 10 Years

Wood MacKenzie recently published  a study outlining the specific steps that would need to be taken in the next 10 years in order to accomplish a fully renewable energy grid here in the United States.  Their article can be accessed here https://www.woodmac.com/news/feature/deep-decarbonisation-the-multi-trillion-dollar-question

The price tag of this ambitious endeavor including grid-level storage and eliminating nuclear plants is $4.5 trillion.  This figure is not unattainable, there are several ways to put that into perspective.  It is roughly equal to the annual federal budget.  It is roughly equal to what we have spent on the “War on Terror” since 2001.  It is $165 per household per month over the next 10 years.

Currently about 30% of our domestic energy use is through the electrical grid.  The job of going 100% renewable on the electric grid is also made more challenging if we can rapidly shift the 30% of the energy we use for transportation away from nearly all petroleum to nearly all electricity.  To maintain perspective, we find it helpful to review the Lawrence Livermore Labs energy charts, recently updated for 2018, see below.

The economic benefits of such an investment would be tremendous.  As with solar on rooftops, once the investment is made, the ongoing cost of energy is very, very low (some people say “free”, I don’t agree.)  The real world benefits of such a move would be to remove out electricity sector’s contribution to pollution both in terms of carbon, and the smog from nitrogen oxides, and sulfur, mercury and other poisonous emissions from fossil fuel consumption.  There is no doubt in my mind that this is a goal we must pursue as quickly as possible, for many reasons.

Of note, Washington’s Gov Jay Inslee shares our perspective and has a very high energy literacy.  He has a detailed and credible plan to implement much of what the Woods Mackenzie report outlines, while also analyzing the job creation benefits at the same time.  It is worthwhile to take a close look at Gov Inslee’s vision here https://jayinslee.com/issues/evergreen-economy

While these national policy goals are important to consider, we prefer to spend our days installing solar on rooftops here on the Olympic Peninsula.  It is something that we can feel good about every day, knowing we are helping our clients save money, decrease their contribution to pollution, and take steps towards a cleaner future.

John Hanson, Port Townsend, 2014   – https://www.ptleader.com/stories/john-caesar-hansen,62338?

 

Electric Transportation and Micro-Grids Making Progress

In the US, 30% of our carbon emissions derive from transportation.  The improvements in cost and performance of electric vehicle represent a great immediate opportunity for us to decrease our carbon pollution.  EV sales in 2018 increased 81% over the previous year.

Here in the Pacific Northwest, we have an abundance of renewable energy resources and at the macro level, namely the existing hydro system and the significant wind farms installed in the last 15 years.  We also have an abundance of sunshine providing great opportunity for distributed generation.  When you utilize solar pv to replace your gasoline consumption, you are reaping a tremendous financial gain and also making a significant decrease in your personal carbon pollution.

While these micro-grids are new and not inexpensive, we have begun to perform installations around the edge of this technology.  This article talks about the benefits fleet managers at larger corporations are seeing in markets where the electricity cost signals and reliability issues are a little different than our location, however this is probably coming universally.  Who will be the first locally to see the benefit of EV fleets and on-site solar generation using a micro-grid?

https://www.greentechmedia.com/articles/read/why-electrified-transportation-needs-microgrids

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